Americans Now Evenly Divided on Impeaching Trump

Feb 10, 2017 PPP’s new national poll finds that Donald Trump’s popularity as President has declined precipitously just over the last two weeks

Public Policy Polling (PPP) – February 10, 2017

Americans Now Evenly Divided on Impeaching Trump

  • On our first poll of his Presidency voters were evenly divided on Trump, with 44% approving of him and 44% also disapproving
  • Now his approval rating is 43%, while his disapproval has gone all the way up to 53%
  • If voters could choose they’d rather have both Barack Obama (52/44) or Hillary Clinton (49/45) instead of Trump

 

Impeachment?

  • Just three weeks into his administration, voters are already evenly divided on the issue of impeaching Trump with 46% in favor and 46% opposed
  • Support for impeaching Trump has crept up from 35% 2 weeks ago, to 40% last week, to its 46% standing this week

 

Here are the reasons things are going bad for Trump:

Voters think he’s over reaching to make a country safe . . . that they already consider to be safe

  • 66% of Americans consider the United States to be a safe country, to only 23% who consider it unsafe
  • Perhaps as an outgrowth of that sentiment only 45% of voters support Trump’s Executive Order on immigration, to 49% who are opposed to it
  • Among those who do support it you have to wonder how well thought out their position is – by a 51/23 margin Trump voters say that the Bowling Green Massacre shows why Trump’s immigration policy is needed
  • By a 48/43 spread, voters do think that the intent of the Executive Order is to be a Muslim ban
  • And just 22% support a Muslim ban, to 65% who are opposed
  • The order has also increasingly raised issues about Trump’s competence in voters’ eyes – only 27% think the Executive Order was well executed, to 66% who think it was poorly executed.
  • The spread on that question was 39/55 when we asked last week
  • Another aspect of voters already feeling safe is that they don’t want to pay for the wall with Mexico
  • Just 32% support a 20% tax on items imported to the United States from Mexico, to 55% who are opposed to that concept
  • And in general only 37% of voters want the wall if US taxpayers have to front the cost for it, to 56% who are against that

 

Voters are concerned by the implications of Trump’s fight with the Judiciary

  • 53% of voters say they trust Judges more to make the right decisions for the United States, to only 38% who trust Trump more
  • And only 25% of voters think Trump should be able to overturn decisions by Judges that he disagrees with, to 64% who don’t think he should be able to do that
  • Trump voters have evidently had enough of the Constitution and those pesky checks and balances though – 51% of them think he should personally be able to overturn decisions he doesn’t agree with, to only 33% who dissent

 

Voters don’t like the people Trump has surrounded himself with

  • Betsy DeVos may have been confirmed this week, but she made a horrible impression on the public
  • Only 27% of voters see her positively to 49% with a negative opinion of her
  • Clinton voters are almost unanimous in their distaste for her (5/83 favorability), while she doesn’t generate nearly an equivalent amount of enthusiasm from Trump voters (53/12 favorability.)

 

Other people close to Trump have come off poorly as well

  • Steve Bannon has a 22/45 favorability rating
  • Kellyanne Conway’s is 34/47
  • Sean Spicer’s is 32/41

 

Voters continue to have a lot of basic transparency concerns when it comes to Trump

  • 62% think he needs to fully divest himself from his business interests, to only 27% who don’t think it’s necessary for him to do that
  • And 58% want him to release his tax returns, to just 31% who don’t think he needs to
  • In fact by a 53/32 spread, voters would support a law requiring that candidates for President release 5 years of their tax returns in order to appear on the ballot

 

Voters are concerned that in the realm of foreign policy, Trump likes who they don’t like and doesn’t like who they do like

  • Trump has antagonized Australia, which Americans give a 76/5 favorability rating
  • Meanwhile he has been warm to Russia, which Americans give a 13/63 favorability rating
  • He makes nice comments about Vladimir Putin, who Americans give a 10/72 favorability to
  • He’s threatened to invade Mexico – a course that only 7% of voters support while 83% oppose it

 

Voters are concerned about Trump taking away Obamacare

  • 47% of voters now say they support the Affordable Care Act to only 39% who are opposed. It just keeps getting more popular
  • And only 32% think the best course of action to take on health care is repealing the ACA
  • While 65% would like Congress to keep it and just fix parts that need fixing

 

Voters are increasingly taking the media’s side in his fights with them

  • The New York Times has repeatedly been a target of Trump’s attacks, but voters say they think the Times had more credibility than them 52/37
  • Trump seems to be losing ground in that conflict – he was only down 51/42 a week ago
  • The Presidency has been so diminished over the last 3 weeks that voters even say Saturday Night Live has more credibility than Trump, 48/43


On another note it was unclear last week whether Donald Trump really knew who Frederick Douglass was, and it turns out that puts him in pretty good alignment with his party base

  • Only 47% of Trump voters know that Frederick Douglass is dead, compared to 78% of Clinton voters who know that
  • Even though they evidently need it, Trump voters aren’t very excited about Black History Month
    • Only 45% of them have a favorable opinion of it, to 35% with a negative one
    • By contrast it’s 81/9 for Clinton voters
    • And in yet another measure of the terrible economic anxiety gripping Trump voters though, 46% of them think there should be a White History Month to 36% opposed to that concept
    • They may not get far with that though, since only 28% of voters overall are in favor of such a thing to 58% opposed

 

Finally we continue to find that unhappiness with Trump and with Congressional Republicans could help Democrats to make big gains in 2018

  • Democrats lead 49/41 on the generic Congressional ballot
  • That’s partially a product of Trump’s unpopularity but also an outgrowth of Paul Ryan (35/47 approval)
  • Mitch McConnell (23/52 approval)
  • Congress as a whole (16/68 approval) being unpopular in their own rights.

 

National Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 53%
  • Not sure 3%

 

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

  • Favorable 45%
  • Unfavorable 52%
  • Not sure 3%

 

Q3 Do you support or oppose Donald Trump’s executive order banning refugees and citizens of certain countries from entering the United States?

  • Support Trump’s executive order banning refugees and citizens of certain countries from entering the United States 45%
  • Oppose Trump’s executive order banning refugees and citizens of certain countries from entering the United States 49%
  • Not sure 6%

 

Q4 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: ‘the Bowling Green massacre shows why we need Donald Trump’s executive order on immigration?’

  • Agree 23%
  • Disagree 57%
  • Not sure 20%

 

Q5 Do you think Donald Trump’s executive order on immigration was well executed, or do you think it was poorly executed?

  • Think the executive order was well executed 27%
  • Think the executive order was poorly executed 66%
  • Not sure 7%

 

Q6 Do you think the intent of Donald Trump’s executive order was to ban Muslims from entering the country, or not?/

  • Think the intent of Donald Trump’s executive order was to ban Muslims from entering the country 48%
  • Do not think the intent of Donald Trump’s executive order was to ban Muslims from entering the country 43%
  • Not sure 10%

 

Q7 Do you support or oppose banning Muslims from entering the United States?

  • Support banning Muslims from entering the United States 22%
  • Oppose banning Muslims from entering the United States 65%
  • Not sure 13%

 

Q8 Generally speaking who do you trust more to make the right decisions for the United States: Judges or Donald Trump?

  • Trust Judges more 53%
  • Trust Donald Trump more 38%
  • Not sure 9%

 

Q9 Do you think Donald Trump should be able to overturn decisions by judges that he disagrees with, or not?

  • Think Donald Trump should be able to overturn decisions by judges that he disagrees with 25%
  • Do not think Donald Trump should be able to overturn decisions by judges that he disagrees with 64%
  • Not sure 11%

 

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Steve Bannon?

  • Favorable 22%
  • Unfavorable 45%
  • Not sure 33%

 

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kellyanne Conway?

  • Favorable 34%
  • Unfavorable 47%
  • Not sure 18%

 

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sean Spicer?

  • Favorable 32%
  • Unfavorable 41%
  • Not sure 26%

 

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Betsy DeVos?

  • Favorable 27%
  • Unfavorable 49%
  • Not sure 24%

 

Q14 Do you support or oppose the Affordable Care Act?

  • Support 47%
  • Oppose 39%
  • Not sure 14%

 

Q15 Which of the following would you most like to see the Congress do about the Affordable Care Act, given the choices of keeping what works and fixing what doesn’t, or repealing it and starting over with a new healthcare law?

  • Would most like the Congress to keep what works in the Affordable Care Act and fix what doesn’t 65%
  • Would most like the Congress to repeal the Affordable Care Act and start over with a new healthcare law 32%
  • Not sure 3%

 

Q16 Would you support or oppose a law requiring that a candidate for President release 5 years of tax returns in order to appear on the ballot?

  • Support a law requiring that a candidate for President release 5 years of tax returns in order to appear on the ballot 53%
  • Oppose a law requiring that a candidate for President release 5 years of tax returns in order to appear on the ballot 32%
  • Not sure 14%

 

Q17 Do you think Donald Trump should release his tax returns, or not?

  • Trump should release tax returns 58%
  • Trump should not release tax returns 31%
  • Not sure 11%

 

Q18 Do you think Donald Trump should fully divest himself from his business interests, or not?

  • Think Trump should fully divest himself from his business interests 62%
  • Do not think Trump should fully divest himself from his business interests 27%
  • Not sure 10%

 

Q19 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Russia?

  • Favorable 13%
  • Unfavorable 63%
  • Not sure 24%

 

Q20 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vladimir Putin?

  • Favorable 10%
  • Unfavorable 72%
  • Not sure 18%

 

Q21 Who would you rather was President: Mike Pence or Donald Trump?

  • Mike Pence 30%
  • Donald Trump 38%
  • Not sure 32%

 

Q22 Who do you think has more credibility: the New York Times or Donald Trump?

  • New York Times 52%
  • Donald Trump 37%
  • Not sure 11%

 

Q23 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Saturday Night Live?

  • Favorable 50%
  • Unfavorable 38%
  • Not sure 11%

 

Q24 Who do you think has more credibility: Saturday Night Live or Donald Trump?

  • Saturday Night Live 48%
  • Donald Trump 43%
  • Not sure 10%

 

Q25 Do you support or oppose building a wall with Mexico if American taxpayers have to pay up front for the wall?

  • Support building a wall with Mexico if American taxpayers have to pay up front for the wall 37%
  • Oppose building a wall with Mexico if American taxpayers have to pay up front for the wall 56%
  • Not sure 7%

 

Q26 Would you support or oppose a 20% tax on items imported to the United States from Mexico?

  • Support a 20% tax on items imported to the United States from Mexico 32%
  • Oppose a 20% tax on items imported to the United States from Mexico 55%
  • Not sure 13%

 

Q27 Do you think millions of people voted illegally in the 2016 Presidential election, or not?

  • Think millions of people voted illegally in the 2016 Presidential election 28%
  • Do not think millions of people voted illegally in the 2016 Presidential election 55%
  • Not sure 17%

 

Q28 Who would you rather was President: Barack Obama or Donald Trump?

  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Donald Trump 44%
  • Not sure 4%

 

Q29 Who would you rather was President: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

  • Hillary Clinton 49%
  • Donald Trump 45%
  • Not sure 6%

 

Q30 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Australia?

  • Favorable 76%
  • Unfavorable 5%
  • Not sure 19%

 

Q31 Would you support or oppose invading Mexico?

  • Support 7%
  • Oppose 83%
  • Not sure 9%

 

Q32 Would you support or oppose impeaching Donald Trump?

  • Support impeaching Donald Trump 46%
  • Oppose impeaching Donald Trump 46%
  • Not sure 9%

 

Q33 Do you think the United States is a safe country or an unsafe country?

  • The United States is a safe country 66%
  • The United States is an unsafe country 23%
  • Not sure 12%

 

Q34 Would you support or oppose 50 million dollars of federal aid for the victims of the Owasa Water Crisis of 2017?

  • Support 50 million dollars of federal aid for the victims of the Owasa Water Crisis of 2017 28%
  • Oppose 50 million dollars of federal aid for the victims of the Owasa Water Crisis of 2017 24%
  • Not sure 48%

 

Q35 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Black History Month?

  • Favorable 64%
  • Unfavorable 21%
  • Not sure 15%

 

Q36 Do you think there should be a White History Month, or not?

  • Think there should be a White History Month 28%
  • Do not think there should be a White History Month 58%
  • Not sure 14%

 

Q37 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Frederick Douglass?

  • Favorable 53%
  • Unfavorable 7%
  • Not sure 40%

 

Q38 Do you think that Frederick Douglass is alive or dead, or are you not sure?

  • Frederick Douglass is alive 2%
  • Frederick Douglass is dead 65%
  • Not sure 34%

 

Q39 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing?

  • Approve 16%
  • Disapprove 68%
  • Not sure 17%

 

Q40 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing as Senate Majority Leader?

  • Approve 23%
  • Disapprove 52%
  • Not sure 26%

 

Q41 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Paul Ryan is doing as Speaker of the House?

  • Approve 35%
  • Disapprove 47%
  • Not sure 18%

 

Q42 Generally speaking if there was an election for Congress today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

  • Democrat 49%
  • Republican 41%
  • Not sure 10%

 

Q43 In the election for President, did you vote for Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Clinton, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, or someone else?

  • Donald Trump 43%
  • Hillary Clinton 45%
  • Gary Johnson 4%
  • Jill Stein 3%
  • Someone else 5%

 

Q44 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

  • Very liberal 13%
  • Somewhat liberal 23%
  • Moderate 30%
  • Somewhat conservative 20%
  • Very conservative 15%

 

Q45 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

  • Woman 53%
  • Man 47%

 

Q46 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.

  • Democrat 39%
  • Republican 31%
  • Independent / Other 29%

 

Q47 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If African American, press 3. If other, press 4.

  • Hispanic 10%
  • White 74%
  • African-American 12%
  • Other 5%

 

Q48 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

  • 18 to 29 12%
  • 30 to 45 25%
  • 46 to 65 40%
  • Older than 65 24%

 

Q49 Mode

  • Phone 80%
  • Internet 20%

 

Link to this story:

Public Policy Polling (PPP) – Americans Now Evenly Divided on Impeaching Trump

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